While investors wait on the value factor to bounce back, dividend growth strategies, including the ProShares S&P 500 Aristocrats ETF (CBOE: NOBL), could be the better alternative as some market observers see value in dividend growth stocks.
NOBL tracks the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index, a benchmark that only includes companies that have boosted dividends for 25 consecutive years. Dividend growth strategies, including NOBL, often feature exposure to the quality factor and a recent analysis of NOBL’s underlying index confirms as much.
“Dividend-growth stocks look cheap, according to Goldman Sachs,” reports Daren Fonda for Barron’s. “Large-cap stocks with expected dividend growth of 10% a year through 2020 trade at 12 times earnings, compared with a P/E ratio of 17 for the S&P 500, which is expected to have dividend growth of 6% on an annualized basis. Stocks in Goldman’s dividend-growth basket yield an average 3.5%, well above the market’s 2% yield.”
A Quality Idea
While dividend growth can be seen as a standalone factor, it is also a sign of the quality factor. The quality factor is a point of emphasis for a growing number of strategic beta exchange traded funds. Though there has been debate surrounding defining quality as it pertains to factor-based investing, quality companies and dividend-paying stocks often go hand-in-hand because those dividends are seen as signs of stable earnings and thoughtful management.
“Dividend growth is considered a stock ‘factor or attribute,” according to Barron’s. “It can be a proxy for quality since companies with dividend growth tend to have relatively high returns on equity and consistent cash flows. Indeed, in Goldman’s framework, dividend-growth stocks have returns on equity of 24%, well above the market average of 19%.”
Dividend ETFs, both dividend growth funds like NOBL or high-yield ETFs, are trailing the S&P 500 this year. However,